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Practical Judgment and Intellectual Honesty

How can you make a sound decision when evidence is incomplete and you have reasons to prefer one answer? Learn to distinguish confidence from support, interpret probability, examine causal claims, rely on expertise, disagree fairly and write a defensible decision memorandum.

6 chapters · 1 hr reading

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Chapters

  1. 01

    What would make you change your mind?

    10 min
  2. 02

    How much does the evidence tell us?

    10 min
  3. 03

    Did this actually cause that?

    10 min
  4. 04

    Whom should you trust?

    10 min
  5. 05

    How to disagree without losing the question

    10 min
  6. 06

    Deciding before certainty arrives

    10 min